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An analyst told the Jakarta Post that Indonesia's decision to suspend some palm oil export permits would have a negligible effect on global prices. Malaysian crude palm oil rose 1.5% in the days after the rule was announced, but the gain faded.
The analyst set resistance at 4,200 to 4,400 ringgit a tonne and warned of a fall toward 3,500 to 3,700 ringgit if a negative catalyst appeared.
The export tightening is a real supply risk from the largest palm producer, but the market is treating it as a limited shock. Buyers should price in only modest, short-lived palm support unless Indonesia expands the restrictions.
pwc.comPricewaterhouseCoopers14 de fev. de 2023Após 67 eventos neutro de comércio passados, Óleo de palma subiu em mediana +0,0% em 5 sessões (51% de alta; metade central de -1,1% a +1,3%), e +0,6% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
