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Gro Intelligence analysis says La Niña's expected exit should lift Southeast Asian palm oil output in 2023. Yields could then fall in 2024 as drier conditions follow La Niña and possible El Niño develops.
Indonesia and Malaysia together supply about 85% of world palm oil, and palm prices have fallen more than 40% from their May 2022 peak.
Near-term supply is expected to improve, which is bearish for palm oil, but a 2024 drop in output could support prices later. This mixed outlook points to renewed volatility in palm oil and related vegetable oil markets.
ukragroconsult.com21 de fev. de 2023Após 19 eventos neutro de clima passados, Óleo de palma subiu em mediana +0,2% em 5 sessões (53% de alta; metade central de -0,4% a +1,1%), e +2,4% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
