◂ Linha do tempo do evento

13 de jul. de 2023CLIMAGlobal

El Niño and Its Influence on Global Food Insecurity - United States Department of State

A US State Department Foreign Press Center briefing featured NOAA chief scientist Sarah Kapnick and Special Envoy Cary Fowler discussing NOAA's latest outlook. El Niño conditions are expected to gradually strengthen, affecting crop yields, coastal fisheries, and drought and rainfall patterns worldwide.

POR QUE IMPORTA

Official confirmation of a strengthening El Niño raises the risk of yield shortfalls in exposed regions, supporting firmer prices for weather-sensitive grains and oilseeds over time. The briefing itself adds no new supply data, so the price effect is gradual.

AFETAMilho Soja em grão Trigo (SRW)Óleo de palma

FONTE
2021-2025.state.govNOAA Chief Scientist Dr. Sarah Kapnick13 de jul. de 2023

Reação de preço e histórico

Milhosem leitura direcionalATÉ AGORA1d +4,7%5d -1,6%20d -7,1%

Após 2.467 eventos de clima passados, Milho subiu em mediana +0,1% em 5 sessões (51% de alta; metade central de -1,5% a +1,7%), e +0,6% em 20.

2 de mai. de 2023Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security+2,7%
30 de out. de 2023El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity - NASA Science-3,3%
27 de jul. de 2018Does the El Niño Southern Oscillation Actually Matter for Food Security? – State of the Planet+0,9%
4 de out. de 20262026-2027 El Niño food security impacts-3,5%
20 de set. de 2024FAO urges swift action as La Niña threatens global food security+0,0%

Soja em grãosem leitura direcionalATÉ AGORA1d +2,0%5d +0,2%20d -3,8%

Após 1.964 eventos de clima passados, Soja em grão subiu em mediana +0,1% em 5 sessões (51% de alta; metade central de -1,7% a +1,8%), e +0,3% em 20.

2 de mai. de 2023Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security+1,0%
30 de out. de 2023El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity - NASA Science+2,3%
27 de jul. de 2018Does the El Niño Southern Oscillation Actually Matter for Food Security? – State of the Planet+2,5%
20 de set. de 2024FAO urges swift action as La Niña threatens global food security+2,7%
30 de ago. de 2021The impact of La Niña and El Nino climate patterns on agriculture and food security | Experts’ Opinions DevelopmentAid-5,6%

Trigo (SRW)sem leitura direcionalATÉ AGORA1d +0,2%5d +3,7%20d +3,6%

Após 1.773 eventos de clima passados, Trigo (SRW) subiu em mediana +0,1% em 5 sessões (52% de alta; metade central de -1,5% a +2,1%), e +0,2% em 20.

2 de mai. de 2023Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security-0,4%
30 de out. de 2023El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity - NASA Science+2,3%
27 de jul. de 2018Does the El Niño Southern Oscillation Actually Matter for Food Security? – State of the Planet-1,3%
30 de ago. de 2021The impact of La Niña and El Nino climate patterns on agriculture and food security | Experts’ Opinions DevelopmentAid+0,2%
18 de jul. de 2023How will El Nino impact the world’s wheat and global food supply - The University of Sydney+2,0%

Óleo de palmasem leitura direcionalATÉ AGORA1d -0,4%5d +0,8%20d -1,4%

Após 361 eventos de clima passados, Óleo de palma subiu em mediana +0,0% em 5 sessões (51% de alta; metade central de -1,3% a +1,3%), e -0,2% em 20.

2 de mai. de 2023Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security+11,1%
20 de set. de 2024FAO urges swift action as La Niña threatens global food security+2,6%
30 de ago. de 2021The impact of La Niña and El Nino climate patterns on agriculture and food security | Experts’ Opinions DevelopmentAid+0,1%
9 de fev. de 2022Simultaneous Droughts Could Threaten Global Food Security, Says Study – State of the Planet+2,1%
28 de set. de 2023Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño-2,3%

Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.

Milho CORN · GP ▸

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Soja em grão SOY · GP ▸

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