◂ Linha do tempo do evento

23 de abr. de 2024CLIMASouthern Africa

FAO/GIEWS Special Alert No. 352: Southern Africa El Niño-linked drought to cause cereal production declines and spur a surge in import needs, 23 April 2024 - Mozambique

FAO/GIEWS Special Alert No. 352 says El Niño-linked drought has damaged 2024 cereal crops across Southern Africa, with harvests expected below average from May and recovery considered negligible. Import requirements are forecast to rise, with supplies likely sourced from outside the region, and acute food insecurity could worsen in 2024/25.

POR QUE IMPORTA

A sharp rise in import needs from outside Southern Africa would tighten export availability and support maize and wheat prices, especially as the region's harvest shortfall is locked in.

AFETAMilho▲Trigo (SRW)▲

FONTE
reliefweb.intFood, Agriculture Organization of the United Nations23 de abr. de 2024

Reação de preço e histórico

Milho▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d +0,4%5d -0,1%20d +4,1%

Após 1.465 eventos altista de clima passados, Milho subiu em mediana +0,2% em 5 sessões (54% de alta; metade central de -1,4% a +1,9%), e +0,9% em 20.

13 de nov. de 2024WFP Regional Bureau for Southern Africa: El Niño Situation Report #3, November 2024 - Zimbabwe | ReliefWeb-0,5%
8 de abr. de 2024GEOGLAM CROP MONITOR SPECIAL ALERTS - SOUTHERN AFRICA EL NIñO INDUCED DROUGHT - GEOGLAM - Group on Earth Observations Global Agriculture Monitoring-1,2%
17 de abr. de 2019To manage El Nino-related crop distress in eastern and southern Africa, invest in drought-tolerant seeds and better soil and water care – CIMMYT-1,9%
24 de ago. de 2018FAO and WFP concerned about the impact of drought on the most vulnerable in Central America - El Salvador | ReliefWeb-0,9%
10 de abr. de 2024Southern Africa drought: Impacts on maize production | IFPRI+0,1%

Trigo (SRW)▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d +0,4%5d -1,3%20d +22,1%

Após 1.072 eventos altista de clima passados, Trigo (SRW) subiu em mediana +0,2% em 5 sessões (55% de alta; metade central de -1,4% a +2,3%), e +0,3% em 20.

30 de nov. de 2023Forecasts of a decrease in the production of wheat and rapeseed in the EU in 2024/25 MY support quotations+1,2%
4 de set. de 2026El Niño drives crop failure in Central America and East Africa and threatens the next season in Southern Africa, East Africa, Western South America, and Southeast Asia - Joint Research Centre+1,4%
7 de ago. de 2023El Niño: Anticipatory Action and Response Plan, August-December 2023 - Mitigating the expected impacts of El Niño-induced climate extremes on agriculture and food security - World | ReliefWeb+0,5%
11 de set. de 2018Drought bites in the east as ABARES forecasts 12pc cut to grain production - ABC News-7,4%
15 de fev. de 2023Argentina's 2022-23 production and export revenue to fall - Fastmarkets-1,4%

Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.

Milho CORN · GP ▸

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Trigo (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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