USDA announced risk-based phased reopening of southern ports to cattle, bison and equine imports from Mexico, starting with Douglas, Arizona, as early as July 7. The decision follows improved sterile fly dispersal and surveillance in Mexico, with no notable rise in screwworm cases there for eight weeks.
The ports had been closed since May 11.
Resumed Mexican feeder cattle imports would add supply to a tight U.S. market, which is likely to pressure feeder cattle prices and ease the historic beef price run-up over time.
Após 87 eventos baixista de comércio passados, Bezerro de reposição subiu em mediana +0,4% em 5 sessões (54% de alta; metade central de -3,2% a +1,9%), e +1,1% em 20.
Após 121 eventos baixista de comércio passados, Boi gordo subiu em mediana -0,6% em 5 sessões (40% de alta; metade central de -1,6% a +0,8%), e -0,3% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
The official USDA notice of southern port reopening starting July 7 is the source of the supply-outlook shift behind the futures selloff.
USDA's June 30 announcement of a phased reopening of Mexican cattle imports from July 7 raises expected feeder supply, a bearish trade-flow factor for cattle futures.