
Wheat futures are trading at levels last seen in early 2023 as attacks on Black Sea ports, grain terminals and vessels disrupt regional exports. Russia and Ukraine together account for about 27% of global wheat exports, and the International Grains Council describes their exports as at a standstill.
Chicago wheat is up about 30% since early July.
With roughly a quarter of world wheat exports disrupted, the supply gap is large enough to lift global benchmark prices and pass through to feed and food costs. Prices remain below 2022 peaks, limiting the scale of the rally.
Após 361 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Trigo (SRW) subiu em mediana +0,7% em 5 sessões (58% de alta; metade central de -1,4% a +3,7%), e +1,3% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.