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The Brazilian real fell to a 2.5-year low against the dollar, with USD/BRL moving above 4.00. Danske Bank analyst Jens Pedersen linked the move to worries that reform-oriented candidates have weak support ahead of the presidential election.
A sharply weaker real raises the cost of imported feed ingredients for Brazilian buyers and can pull in more Brazilian soybean and corn exports, supporting dollar-denominated grain prices. Analysts also flagged a possible central bank rate hike to defend the currency.
forexcrunch.comFX Street22 de ago. de 2018Após 301 eventos altista de macro passados, Real brasileiro (BRL por USD) subiu em mediana +0,4% em 5 sessões (57% de alta; metade central de -1,2% a +1,7%), e +1,0% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
Election-related worries about weak support for reform-oriented candidates drove the real to a 2.5-year low in the window, a direct sentiment/risk-premium driver.
