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Brazilian stocks fell on Monday after the government agreed to soften its pension reform proposal to secure Congressional approval. The revised plan yields about 60% of the fiscal savings of the original, versus 75% in the prior version.
The Bovespa index slipped 1.2%, while the real gained 0.4%.
Pension reform is seen as necessary to curb Brazil's public debt, so a weaker bill raises fiscal risk and drives equity volatility. The real's gain against the dollar also shows investors treating the reform's outcome as a currency factor.
ai-cio.comChris Butera28 de nov. de 2017Após 13 eventos baixista de política passados, Real brasileiro (BRL por USD) subiu em mediana -3,4% em 5 sessões (15% de alta; metade central de -3,4% a -1,3%), e -1,9% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
Brazil's softened pension reform lowers expected fiscal savings and raises fiscal-risk concerns, which can weaken the real and pressure BRL, although the real actually gained 0.4% on the day and the event predates the 11-30 move by two days.
