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Physical crude prices in the Middle East, Europe and Africa jumped to two-month highs, with some cargoes nearing $110 a barrel. Dated Brent hit $105.70 on Thursday, its highest since late May and first breach of $100 since early June, and North Sea Forties reached $108.77 on Friday.
The moves followed Houthi attacks on Red Sea tankers, the collapse of a preliminary US-Iran peace deal, Hormuz export disruption and Ukrainian strikes that cut Kazakh output.
Higher crude raises diesel and freight costs and pushes up energy-linked feed inputs, while rerouted tankers add shipping cost and time. Vegetable oil and biofuel demand may firm as crude rises, supporting soybean oil and palm oil prices.
brecorder.comReuters24 de jul. de 2026Após 656 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (Brent) subiu em mediana +1,9% em 5 sessões (63% de alta; metade central de -2,7% a +6,6%), e +0,7% em 20.
Após 626 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (WTI) subiu em mediana +2,1% em 5 sessões (62% de alta; metade central de -2,3% a +8,5%), e +1,6% em 20.
Após 250 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, ULSD / Diesel subiu em mediana +1,7% em 5 sessões (58% de alta; metade central de -3,6% a +8,7%), e +0,9% em 20.
Ainda não há eventos comparáveis passados suficientes para uma leitura histórica.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
Physical crude prices surged with Dated Brent at $105.70 on the collapse of the US-Iran peace deal, Hormuz disruption and Kazakh output cuts, corroborating tight supply, though it is dated after the window ends.
Physical prices and Dated Brent surged on the same Red Sea and Hormuz disruptions plus the collapsed peace deal, confirming the tightness, though it was published a day later.
