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The US dollar is rallying as sticky inflation leads investors to expect the Federal Reserve to keep rates higher for longer. Markets had priced about 50 basis points of Fed cuts for 2024, down from 150 at the start of the year.
The two-year US-German yield spread reached its widest since 2022 as the ECB signaled possible cuts as soon as June.
A stronger dollar makes US-priced grains and feed ingredients more expensive for foreign buyers, which tends to weigh on export demand and prices. Wider rate differentials also draw capital into dollar assets.
reuters.comSaqib Iqbal Ahmed15 de abr. de 2024Após 2.356 eventos altista de macro passados, Dólar americano (amplo) subiu em mediana +0,2% em 5 sessões (60% de alta; metade central de -0,3% a +0,7%), e +0,4% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
Higher-for-longer Fed repricing and a widening US-German yield spread supported the dollar rally.
