# World Bank Projects 12% Fertilizer Price Drop in 2027: What's Behind It

The World Bank expects global fertilizer prices to fall 12% in 2027 after an estimated 14% rise in 2026, though urea is still forecast to average 21% higher this year. Shipping disruptions and geopolitical tensions could delay the relief.

Published 2026-11-13 by the Feedsoft Markets Desk. Covers: UREA, DAP.

Video (46s): https://feedsoft.ai/media/social/138/youtube-a9394d3ca2.mp4

## Transcript

- **Fertilizer prices: a turn ahead?** The World Bank projects global fertilizer prices will fall 12% in 2027, after an estimated 14% rise in 2026.
- **The cooling has already started** Its fertilizer price index fell 22% in the third quarter of 2026 from the previous quarter.
- **But urea is still expensive** Urea is still forecast to average 21% higher for the full year 2026.
- **Why relief is expected** Lower input costs, recovering supply and more exports from producers outside the Gulf region.
- **Relief isn't guaranteed** Shipping disruptions and geopolitical tensions could delay or limit it. Cheaper fertilizer would ease farmers' production costs.

Full analysis: https://feedsoft.ai/events/93316-global-fertilizer-prices-to-drop-12-in-2027-offering-potential-relief-to

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.