# Why EU cereal production is forecast down 9.6% in 2026/27

The European Commission puts 2026/27 EU cereal output at 262 million tonnes, down 9.6% on last year, after extreme heat and drought hit summer crops. Here is what a smaller crop could mean for feed grain buyers.

Published 2026-11-05 by the Feedsoft Markets Desk. Covers: CORN, WHEAT, BARLEY.

Video (39s): https://feedsoft.ai/media/social/35/youtube-2a28c1310d.mp4

## Transcript

- **EU grain crop: down 9.6%** The European Commission estimates 2026/27 EU cereal production at 262 million tonnes. That is 9.6% below last year and 4.7% below the five-year average.
- **Heat and drought did the damage** Extreme heat and severe drought in key producing regions hit summer crops. Maize was the most affected.
- **Oilseeds held up better** Oilseed crops have shown resilience. That limits how much of the grain shortfall passes through to meal prices.
- **What it means for feed buyers** A smaller EU crop tightens feed grain supply and supports corn and barley. It also raises import demand from outside the bloc.

Full analysis: https://feedsoft.ai/events/81558-eu-sharp-drop-in-cereal-production-expected-oilseeds-also-decline

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.