# Australia's 2026/27 wheat falls 11% as barley hits a record 17.7 Mt

USDA FAS forecasts Australian wheat output down 11% to 32.0 million tonnes and barley at a record 17.7 million. Higher nitrogen fertilizer costs and El Niño dryness risk are shifting plantings toward barley.

Published 2026-11-05 by the Feedsoft Markets Desk. Covers: WHEAT, BARLEY.

Video (34s): https://feedsoft.ai/media/social/37/facebook-0d68c8dd52.mp4

## Transcript

- **Australia is planting less wheat** USDA FAS forecasts Australia's 2026/27 wheat crop down 11% to 32.0 million tonnes.
- **Barley is heading the other way** The same forecast puts Australian barley at a record 17.7 million tonnes.
- **Why the switch?** Nitrogen fertilizer costs are higher, tied to the Middle East conflict. El Niño dryness is a risk too. Both are shifting plantings toward barley.
- **What it means for buyers** A smaller wheat crop tightens wheat export supply. A bigger barley crop adds barley availability.

Full analysis: https://feedsoft.ai/events/79861-australia-s-wheat-production-falls-as-2026-27-barley-crop-strengthens

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.