Front-month ICE Brent futures rose 8.97% on June 13, their largest one-day jump in as many as five years, after Israel struck Iranian nuclear sites and killed a top commander. No damage to energy infrastructure had been reported.
Analysts said the outcome depends on whether Iranian oil exports are affected.
JP Morgan's worst-case scenario puts a loss of over 2.1 million b/d of Iranian exports, which could push Dated Brent to $120-$130 a barrel. That would raise energy costs across feed production and freight.
Po 656 wcześniejszych Wydarzenia typu wzrostowy: geopolityka Ropa naftowa (Brent) wzrósł medianowo o +1,9% w ciągu 5 sesji (63% wyżej; środkowa połowa od -2,7% do +6,6%), a o +0,7% w ciągu 20.
Po 626 wcześniejszych Wydarzenia typu wzrostowy: geopolityka Ropa naftowa (WTI) wzrósł medianowo o +2,1% w ciągu 5 sesji (62% wyżej; środkowa połowa od -2,3% do +8,5%), a o +1,6% w ciągu 20.
Ruchy benchmarku każdego towaru od ostatniego zamknięcia przed wydarzeniem. Odczyty historyczne łączą przeszłe wydarzenia tego samego rodzaju; opisują, co się stało, a nie co się stanie. Nie jest to porada inwestycyjna.
Brent's 8.97% one-day jump on June 13 after Israel struck Iranian nuclear sites was the main driver of the 5-day move, via a geopolitical supply-risk premium.
Israel struck Iranian nuclear sites, and ICE Brent had its largest one-day jump in years as traders priced in risks to Iranian exports.
Front-month Brent had its largest one-day jump in years on June 13 as Israel struck Iranian nuclear sites, which added a geopolitical supply-risk premium.
Brent had its largest one-day jump in years after strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, with the price outcome dependent on Iranian export risk.