
Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen advanced to the French presidential runoff on May 7 after the first round, with Macron at about 23.7 percent and Le Pen at about 21.7 percent. The euro reached a five-and-a-half-month high against the dollar, and polls showed Macron favoured at roughly 62 to 38 percent.
A likely Macron win reduces the tail risk of a euro-area shock that would weigh on the euro. Currency moves of this kind change the dollar cost of European feed imports only modestly.
Na 18 eerdere opwaarts geopolitiek-gebeurtenissen bewoog Euro (USD per EUR) zich mediaan +1,9% over 5 sessies (83% hoger; middelste helft +0,9% tot +2,0%), en +2,0% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.
Macron and Le Pen advancing to the runoff, with Macron favoured in polls, lowered the odds of a eurosceptic victory and lifted EUR/USD to a five-and-a-half-month high.