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Oil prices dropped sharply after Iran's retaliation against a U.S. military base in Qatar was limited and telegraphed. Prices fell further after Donald Trump announced that Israel and Iran had agreed to a ceasefire.
The episode suggests Middle East tensions have less lasting impact on crude than before, so risk premiums are unwinding and energy input costs for feed are easing.
reuters.comRon Bousso25 jun 2025Na 250 eerdere neerwaarts geopolitiek-gebeurtenissen bewoog Ruwe olie (Brent) zich mediaan -3,1% over 5 sessies (36% hoger; middelste helft -7,9% tot +1,6%), en -5,5% over 20.
Na 255 eerdere neerwaarts geopolitiek-gebeurtenissen bewoog Ruwe olie (WTI) zich mediaan -2,4% over 5 sessies (31% hoger; middelste helft -7,0% tot +1,7%), en -5,0% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.
Limited, telegraphed Iranian retaliation and the ceasefire announcement drove prices lower as the supply-risk premium faded.
Prices dropped because Iran's retaliation was limited and telegraphed, with the ceasefire announcement adding to the decline; the ceasefire part falls partly outside the June 23 window.
Oil dropped on the limited, telegraphed Iranian retaliation and then the ceasefire, which lowered the supply-risk premium.
