Laden…
Brazil's first-round election results diverged sharply from polls, with right-leaning Jair Bolsonaro taking 46% of the vote and leading Fernando Haddad by a wide margin. The result reflected an anti-establishment wave tied to recession and Lava-Jato corruption revelations.
Expectations of a market-friendly government support the real and Brazilian assets, which can affect the export competitiveness of Brazilian soybeans, corn and meal and therefore global feed prices.
think.ing.com8 okt 2018Na 13 eerdere neerwaarts beleid-gebeurtenissen bewoog Braziliaanse real (BRL per USD) zich mediaan -3,4% over 5 sessies (15% hoger; middelste helft -3,4% tot -1,3%), en -1,9% over 20.
Na 206 eerdere neutraal beleid-gebeurtenissen bewoog Sojaschroot zich mediaan -0,4% over 5 sessies (44% hoger; middelste helft -2,3% tot +1,8%), en -0,7% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.
The first-round result diverged from polls with Bolsonaro at 46%, a surprise that shifted election expectations and drove the repricing of BRL.
The first-round result diverged from polls with Bolsonaro well ahead, surprising markets and driving the repricing of Brazilian political risk behind the currency move, though this is context rather than the direct market reaction.
