
The Brazilian real fell nearly 4% on Friday, leading losses among major emerging-market currencies. The move followed comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that a half-point rate hike would be on the table, and the dollar rose to a more than two-year high.
Expectations of aggressive US rate hikes strengthen the dollar and pressure emerging-market currencies, which raises the cost of Brazilian dollar-priced exports and can weigh on global feed commodity prices.
Na 301 eerdere opwaarts macro-gebeurtenissen bewoog Braziliaanse real (BRL per USD) zich mediaan +0,4% over 5 sessies (57% hoger; middelste helft -1,2% tot +1,7%), en +1,0% over 20.
Na 2.356 eerdere opwaarts macro-gebeurtenissen bewoog Amerikaanse dollar (breed) zich mediaan +0,2% over 5 sessies (60% hoger; middelste helft -0,3% tot +0,7%), en +0,4% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.
Powell's signal of a 50bp hike lifted the dollar to a two-year high and drove a ~4% one-day BRL drop, the largest single contributor to the 5-day move (currency/sentiment).
The Friday 4/22 near-4% BRL drop on Powell's hawkish comments (50bp hike) and a two-year-high dollar set the stage and carried momentum into the Monday move, though it falls just before the window.