
Alex Norton argues that US wheat is too expensive to compete in export markets throughout the 2018-19 crop year. Russia aggressively sold low-priced wheat early in the season, and US sales have been slow to recover after a government shutdown delayed reporting.
Global production shortfalls in Europe, Russia, and Australia had been expected to shift demand to the US.
If US wheat stays priced above Black Sea supplies, export demand will keep shifting elsewhere, leaving US stocks heavier and prices pressured. That weakens the case for a price recovery in US wheat.
Na 375 eerdere neerwaarts handel-gebeurtenissen bewoog Tarwe (SRW) zich mediaan -0,2% over 5 sessies (47% hoger; middelste helft -2,0% tot +1,1%), en -0,1% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.