
ING analyst Viraj Patel says Fed policy will be a negligible driver of the USD in 2018, as the January FOMC minutes show a muddle-through path. Markets already price about 60bp of tightening for 2018.
Patel says only a major regime shift, such as hawkish or dovish Fed governor appointments, would change that view.
Limited Fed-driven dollar upside suggests dollar-denominated feed commodity prices may not get strong support from policy. Emerging market currencies may benefit, which could affect import demand for feed.
Na 359 eerdere neutraal macro-gebeurtenissen bewoog Amerikaanse dollar (breed) zich mediaan -0,0% over 5 sessies (49% hoger; middelste helft -0,4% tot +0,4%), en -0,1% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.