
Rabobank's second quarter global beef report identifies weather as the most disruptive influence on the US beef complex, with extreme drought across Southern Plains grazing regions forcing early calf placements. Cattle on feed was estimated at 11.5 million head as of May 1, 5% above last year.
Drought-forced placements have inflated feedlot numbers and risk bunched fed cattle marketings this summer, pressuring cash fed cattle prices. Continued drought could trigger liquidation and tighter supplies into 2019.
Na 18 eerdere neerwaarts weer-gebeurtenissen bewoog Slachtvee (levend) zich mediaan +0,1% over 5 sessies (56% hoger; middelste helft -0,7% tot +0,9%), en -0,1% over 20.
Na 29 eerdere neerwaarts weer-gebeurtenissen bewoog Mestvee (feeder) zich mediaan +0,5% over 5 sessies (62% hoger; middelste helft -0,5% tot +2,6%), en +2,4% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.
Southern Plains drought forcing early calf placements implies tighter future feeder supplies, a supportive supply factor, though the early placements would be bearish near term.