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A Michael Pettis analysis argues that Beijing may use renminbi depreciation as one of its few responses to US trade threats. The RMB has fallen about 4% against the dollar in two weeks.
The report concludes that sustained depreciation would damage China's economy more than the US, so a prolonged slide is unlikely.
The view that China will limit yuan weakness suggests the currency may not keep eroding Chinese import purchasing power for US feed ingredients. This makes a sharp, lasting drop in the yuan less likely to drive further price pressure.
globalsourcepartners.comMichael Pettis28 jun 2018Na 169 eerdere neutraal macro-gebeurtenissen bewoog Chinese yuan (CNY per USD) zich mediaan +0,0% over 5 sessies (50% hoger; middelste helft -0,3% tot +0,2%), en -0,0% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.
