University of Minnesota economist Ed Usset says that weather is the main price driver this time of year, with trade a significant but secondary factor, estimating a 60/40 split. U.S. crop condition ratings are at their highest in more than 20 years while trade tensions with China and Mexico are peaking.
He sees a late June or early July rally as unlikely.
Strong crop ratings and trade-related weakness point to lower corn and soybean prices, and the lack of a likely rally means feed buyers can expect softer spot values.
Na 357 eerdere neerwaarts weer-gebeurtenissen bewoog Maïs zich mediaan -0,3% over 5 sessies (44% hoger; middelste helft -2,2% tot +1,3%), en -0,5% over 20.
Na 363 eerdere neerwaarts weer-gebeurtenissen bewoog Sojabonen zich mediaan -0,6% over 5 sessies (42% hoger; middelste helft -2,5% tot +1,1%), en -0,2% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.
Economist attributes bearish grain pricing to top crop ratings (weather ~60%) and peaking trade tensions with China (~40%), covering both supply and demand drivers.