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DTN analyst Joel Karlin notes corn futures have rallied at least 30 cents since July 12 on fund short covering, lower coarse grain estimates in the EU and Black Sea, and the lowest stocks-to-use projections in five years. He estimates 2018/19 U.S. ending stocks could be at least 130 million bushels below USDA's May projection, depending on yield and export assumptions.
If USDA's 174 bpa yield is too low versus the trade's 177-178 estimate, the stocks outlook could tighten further or ease depending on exports, so yield and export pace will set corn price direction. Lower projected stocks are supportive for corn and feed costs.
dtnpf.comJoel Karlin31 jul 2018Na 1.040 eerdere opwaarts rapport-gebeurtenissen bewoog Maïs zich mediaan +0,5% over 5 sessies (62% hoger; middelste helft -0,9% tot +2,0%), en +0,8% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.
