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On May 26, the PBOC announced it would add a counter-cyclical adjustment factor to its model for the daily USDCNY midpoint fixing. The aim is to reduce excess yuan volatility and curb one-way bets.
Analysts note this risks reverting toward the pre-August 2015 exchange rate regime.
A less market-determined yuan fix changes the currency backdrop for China-linked feed demand and import costs, though the direct link to feed commodity prices is indirect.
bbvaresearch.comSumedh Deorukhkar, Le Xia30 mei 2017Na 42 eerdere neutraal beleid-gebeurtenissen bewoog Chinese yuan (CNY per USD) zich mediaan -0,0% over 5 sessies (50% hoger; middelste helft -0,3% tot +0,4%), en -0,2% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.
The PBOC's counter-cyclical factor added to the USDCNY fixing model lets authorities lean against dollar strength, which supports yuan appreciation (CNY per USD down).
