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China is expected to ship at least 1.2 million tonnes of urea to India, marking a ramp-up after Beijing loosened export controls. The volume would make up at least two-thirds of India's latest tender, with shipments due to leave by September 24.
Prices surged to a four-year high in April but have since fallen back.
Chinese tonnage flowing to India's tender increases available urea supply and signals improving market balance, which is bearish for nitrogen fertilizer prices.
business-standard.comBloomberg27 aug 2026Na 81 eerdere neerwaarts handel-gebeurtenissen bewoog Ureum zich mediaan -1,0% over 5 sessies (28% hoger; middelste helft -7,2% tot +0,4%), en -5,5% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.
China's large urea shipments to India in the tender (published Aug 27, just before the move) reshape trade flows and price discovery, so they plausibly contributed to the jump.
Duplicate coverage of China's 1.2 Mt shipment to India under the loosened export controls, affecting global supply and demand balance ahead of the move.
