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ING analysis says the ECB's March 12 package was modest, with no rate cut and only muted quantitative easing. The analysis says the lack of conviction from ECB President Christine Lagarde, including her remark that the bank was not there to close spreads, reintroduced risk premium into the euro.
The note argues that the ball is now in the Federal Reserve's court.
Weaker euro sentiment means a firmer dollar, which tends to weigh on dollar-priced commodities and raises import costs for euro zone buyers. The effect on feed markets is indirect and depends on whether the Federal Reserve responds.
think.ing.com12 mrt 2020Na 533 eerdere neerwaarts macro-gebeurtenissen bewoog Euro (USD per EUR) zich mediaan -0,3% over 5 sessies (33% hoger; middelste helft -1,2% tot +0,2%), en -0,5% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.
