
StoneX analyst Nate Donnay estimates that US government dairy purchases in 2020 pushed the CME block cheese price up about 64 cents per pound and butter up 31 cents from May through November. He estimates the purchases lifted the average Class III milk price by about $6.30/cwt and Class IV by about $1.31/cwt.
Purchases through the food box program and other programs totaled roughly $1.33 billion.
Government buying has been a major source of dairy price support and volatility, so feed buyers should expect dairy-linked demand and milk prices to be sensitive to any reduction in these programs.
Na 17 eerdere opwaarts beleid-gebeurtenissen bewoog Melk (Class III) zich mediaan -0,6% over 5 sessies (29% hoger; middelste helft -1,6% tot +0,2%), en -3,0% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.
Shows government food box purchases had inflated cheese and Class III prices, so their fading removed support and fed the reversal.