Laden…
Rabobank's semi-annual outlook says global fertilizer markets are entering a contraction phase as high prices erode affordability. It forecasts weaker demand in 2025 and a sharper decline in 2026, with urea consumption falling and phosphate consumption about 4% lower globally.
Lower fertilizer demand in 2026 eases the cost pressure on crop input budgets and could soften urea and phosphate prices, although tight supply from China limits the downside. Weaker input use can also affect future crop yields and grain balances.
rabobank.comBruno Fonseca Analyst28 okt 2025Na 42 eerdere neerwaarts rapport-gebeurtenissen bewoog Ureum zich mediaan +0,3% over 5 sessies (57% hoger; middelste helft -1,9% tot +3,3%), en +2,9% over 20.
Na 35 eerdere neerwaarts rapport-gebeurtenissen bewoog DAP zich mediaan 0,0% over 5 sessies (37% hoger; middelste helft -0,7% tot +1,5%), en +0,6% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.
Rabobank's outlook for a contraction phase and roughly 4% lower phosphate consumption signals weakening demand sentiment that supports a price decline.
Rabobank's outlook for a demand contraction (phosphate consumption down about 4%) published 2025-10-28 would weigh on DAP sentiment shortly before the drop.
