
ING says the Brazilian real underperformed in a supportive carry environment after a bank downgraded Brazilian equities and a poll showed Lula widening his lead ahead of the October elections. The bank views this as the first real political hit to the currency this year.
It expects high implied yields and Brazil's net energy exporter status to limit downside, with USD/BRL unlikely to break 5.22 on local news alone.
Political pressure on the real can make Brazilian soybean and corn exports more competitive in the short term. The bank's view that the dollar would need to strengthen broadly to push USD/BRL higher suggests limited direct effect on feed prices.
Na 92 eerdere neutraal macro-gebeurtenissen bewoog Braziliaanse real (BRL per USD) zich mediaan +0,4% over 5 sessies (58% hoger; middelste helft -0,7% tot +1,4%), en +0,4% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.