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Oil fell about 5% on February 2 after Trump said Iran was seriously talking with Washington, signalling de-escalation. Brent traded near $65.86 and WTI near $61.79 after both had posted their biggest monthly gains since 2022 in January.
Falling supply disruptions in the US and Kazakhstan also weighed on prices.
The fading geopolitical premium and the return of supply to the market reduce crude costs for feed producers. Analysts say the market is fundamentally bearish, which points to further downside if the tensions stay eased.
energynow.com2026. 2. 1.과거 하락 지정학 이벤트 250건 이후, 원유 (Brent)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -3.1% 변동(상승 36%; 중간 50% 범위 -7.9%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 -5.5%.
과거 하락 지정학 이벤트 255건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -2.4% 변동(상승 31%; 중간 50% 범위 -7.0%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 -5.0%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Oil fell about 5% on Feb 2 as Trump said Iran was seriously talking with Washington, so the geopolitical risk premium came out after January's big rally.
