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China said it would raise tariffs on $60 billion of US imports to as high as 25% from June 1, in response to US tariff threats on a further $325 billion of Chinese goods. State media suggested China could halt purchases of US agricultural products and energy, and the offshore yuan neared a decade low against the dollar.
A possible halt in Chinese purchases of US farm products would remove a major export outlet for soybeans and corn, and the weaker yuan further discourages imports, pointing to lower US feed grain and soybean prices.
dailycallernewsfoundation.orgShelby Talcott2019. 5. 30.
forex.comMatt Weller CFA, CMT2019. 5. 13.forex.comMatt Weller CFA, CMT2019. 5. 13.과거 하락 무역 이벤트 803건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.
과거 하락 무역 이벤트 683건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.
과거 하락 무역 이벤트 384건 이후, 대두박은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 -0.5%.
과거 비교 가능한 이벤트가 아직 부족해 이력 분석을 할 수 없습니다.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
China's tariff retaliation and state media hints at halting US agricultural and energy purchases pushed USDCNH toward decade highs on the same day, driving risk-off yuan selling.
China's tariff retaliation on $60B of US goods and hints at halting US ag purchases hit soy complex demand expectations on 2019-05-13, a direct trade-flow and sentiment driver.
China's May 13 tariff retaliation and talk of halting US farm purchases escalated the trade war, hitting soy complex sentiment and demand expectations.
China's tariff retaliation and talk of halting US farm purchases drove trade-war sentiment and soybean volatility around May 13.
