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2023. 12. 14.거시글로벌

Dollar tumbles on dovish Fed, euro gains as ECB talks down rate cuts

The dollar fell to a two-week low against the euro and a four-month low against the yen after the Fed indicated rate cuts were likely next year. The euro and pound were supported by the ECB and Bank of England holding rates higher for longer.

중요한 이유

A broad dollar selloff on lower US rate expectations generally supports dollar-priced commodities, though the divergence in central bank messaging adds currency volatility for importers.

영향 대상미국 달러 (광의 지수)▼유로 (EUR당 USD)▲

출처 3건
finance.yahoo.comKaren Brettell, Samuel Indyk2023. 12. 14.
theprint.inReuters2023. 12. 14.
investing.com2023. 12. 14.

가격 반응 및 이력

미국 달러 (광의 지수)▼하락현재까지1d -1.3%5d -1.3%20d -1.3%

과거 하락 거시 이벤트 1,637건 이후, 미국 달러 (광의 지수)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 39%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.6%~+0.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

2020. 3. 2.Yen, euro gain on dollar as Fed rate cut talks heat up | Malay Mail-0.8%
2026. 5. 29.Dollar Faces Bigger Hit Than Euro If Fed, ECB Resume Rate Cuts -- Market Talk+0.3%
2025. 2. 11.Dollar falls as tariff concerns ease, Fed's Powell stays patient on rate cuts | Reuters-1.0%
2019. 10. 31.Euro rises as dollar weakens on questions about more Fed rate cuts-0.1%
2022. 5. 23.Euro climbs as ECB eyes rate hikes, dollar slides | Reuters-0.9%

유로 (EUR당 USD)▲상승현재까지1d +1.9%5d +1.5%20d +1.5%

과거 상승 거시 이벤트 388건 이후, 유로 (EUR당 USD)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 62%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.4%~+1.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.1%.

2026. 5. 29.Dollar Faces Bigger Hit Than Euro If Fed, ECB Resume Rate Cuts -- Market Talk-0.2%
2019. 10. 31.Euro rises as dollar weakens on questions about more Fed rate cuts-0.4%
2022. 5. 23.Euro climbs as ECB eyes rate hikes, dollar slides | Reuters+1.4%
2023. 12. 14.Euro-Dollar Closing On 1.10 As ECB Resists Rate Cut Bets+1.5%
2023. 1. 23.Dollar edges lower vs euro on ECB rate hike bets | Reuters+0.2%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

연관 가격 변동

유로 (EUR당 USD)+1.9%1개 기간 · 2023. 12. 14.까지3.9σ
Dovish Fed signaling rate cuts pushed the dollar to a two-week low against the euro while the ECB held rates higher for longer, directly driving the 1-day euro gain ending Dec 14.
미국 달러 (광의 지수)-1.3%1개 기간 · 2023. 12. 14.까지-3.8σ
Dollar fell to a two-week low versus the euro and a four-month low versus the yen after the Fed signaled 2024 cuts, while the ECB and BoE held a higher-for-longer stance, directly explaining the broad dollar drop.

미국 달러 (광의 지수) DXY · GP ▸

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유로 (EUR당 USD) EURUSD · GP ▸

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