◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2023. 10. 3.거시미국

Oil drops for fourth consecutive day on macroeconomic concerns

Brent settled 1.6% lower and WTI fell 2.2% on Monday, October 2, 2023, extending a fourth straight daily decline. Brent traded below $90 a barrel on Tuesday.

Fed officials signaled that rates would stay restrictive for some time to bring inflation down.

중요한 이유

Expectations of higher-for-longer rates raise recession risk and reduce expected oil demand, which weighs on crude and diesel prices. Stronger dollar conditions can also affect commodity import demand.

영향 대상원유 (Brent)▼원유 (WTI)▼미국 달러 (광의 지수)▲

출처 1건
thenationalnews.comSarmad Khan2023. 10. 3.

가격 반응 및 이력

원유 (Brent)▼하락현재까지1d +1.9%5d -1.3%20d -2.1%

과거 하락 거시 이벤트 312건 이후, 원유 (Brent)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -1.7% 변동(상승 38%; 중간 50% 범위 -5.4%~+2.3%), 20거래일 동안 -1.7%.

2023. 5. 1.Oil drops 1% as economic growth concerns offset OPEC+ cuts-6.0%
2020. 9. 25.Oil prices down for the week on new coronavirus concerns-3.0%
2021. 7. 20.Oil extends decline as concerns over Covid-19 variant mount | The National+8.2%
2023. 10. 24.Oil drops for third straight session on weak European economic data | Reuters-2.0%
2020. 2. 25.Oil falls for fifth day on demand concerns as coronavirus spreads-7.6%

원유 (WTI)▼하락현재까지1d +0.5%5d -5.4%20d -6.8%

과거 하락 거시 이벤트 565건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -1.4% 변동(상승 41%; 중간 50% 범위 -5.9%~+3.0%), 20거래일 동안 -0.5%.

2023. 5. 1.Oil drops 1% as economic growth concerns offset OPEC+ cuts-7.1%
2020. 9. 25.Oil prices down for the week on new coronavirus concerns-4.0%
2021. 7. 20.Oil extends decline as concerns over Covid-19 variant mount | The National+8.5%
2018. 2. 22.Feb 22: Ringgit slips against US dollar for fourth consecutive day-0.3%
2023. 10. 24.Oil drops for third straight session on weak European economic data | Reuters-3.2%

미국 달러 (광의 지수)▲상승현재까지1d +0.6%5d -0.1%20d +0.6%

과거 상승 거시 이벤트 2,356건 이후, 미국 달러 (광의 지수)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 60%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.3%~+0.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.4%.

2023. 2. 27.Won drops to 2023 lows on renewed inflation concerns-0.7%
2017. 10. 30.US tax and upbeat economic outlooks lift dollar’s fortunes | The National-0.2%
2019. 8. 31.Euro hits two-year low amid trade concerns | The National-0.9%
2018. 9. 30.Is the US dollar heading for a crash? | The National+0.7%
2024. 4. 12.Euro sharpens decline to five-month lows on concerns about the interest rate gap+1.1%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

연관 가격 변동

원유 (Brent)-9.6%5개 기간 · 2023. 10. 5.까지-2.8σ
A fourth straight daily decline on restrictive Fed rate signals and macro concerns added to the early-window drop.
원유 (Brent)-4.9%1개 기간 · 2023. 10. 2.까지-4.0σ
Covers Oct 2 settlement declines and hawkish Fed signals of restrictive rates, a macro demand/sentiment headwind, though it reports a smaller 1.6% settlement move.
원유 (Brent)-4.9%1개 기간 · 2023. 10. 4.까지-3.6σ
Prior declines on macro concerns and a restrictive Fed set up a weak sentiment backdrop that made the Oct 4 drop sharper.

원유 (Brent) BRENT · GP ▸

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원유 (WTI) WTI · GP ▸

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