
USDA Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins said the US will not reopen the border to Mexican cattle while New World screwworm remains a threat, which initially supported prices. A later report that President Trump was very interested in reopening the border triggered a sharp selloff, with December live cattle down $4.42 and January feeders down $7.30 on Tuesday.
Uncertainty over reopening Mexican feeder cattle imports creates swings in futures, and the market reaction shows how quickly headlines can override tight-supply fundamentals.
과거 하락 무역 이벤트 121건 이후, 생우은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.6% 변동(상승 40%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+0.8%), 20거래일 동안 -0.3%.
과거 하락 무역 이벤트 87건 이후, 비육용 소은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.4% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -3.2%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +1.1%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
A report that Trump was keen to reopen the Mexican border triggered a sharp selloff, with January feeders down $7.30 on Nov 4, despite Rollins' earlier supportive comments.
Report that Trump was interested in reopening the Mexican border triggered a sharp selloff (Dec live cattle -$4.42 on Nov 4), squarely within the 5-day window, through supply-expectation and sentiment effects.