
The IEA's July 2018 Oil Market Report forecasts 1.4 mb/d of global oil demand growth in both 2018 and 2019. Global supply rose 370 kb/d in June, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, and OPEC output hit a four-month high.
OECD commercial stocks rose by 13.9 mb in May but were still below normal levels.
Rising supply and a forecast of a surplus in the second half point to softer crude prices, though demand growth and low inventories limit the downside.
과거 하락 보고서 이벤트 171건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -1.5% 변동(상승 37%; 중간 50% 범위 -4.8%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 -0.9%.
과거 하락 보고서 이벤트 129건 이후, 원유 (Brent)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -1.3% 변동(상승 45%; 중간 50% 범위 -3.9%~+2.5%), 20거래일 동안 +0.4%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
The IEA's July 11 report showed June global supply up 370 kb/d with OPEC output at a four-month high and OECD stocks rebuilding, which eased supply-tightness concerns and plausibly contributed to the Brent selloff, though demand growth forecasts were steady and the move likely also reflected other factors such as Libya supply restoration and US-China trade tensions.