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Siam Commercial Bank's EIC says a drought that started early in Thailand's 2019-2020 dry season has damaged 1.62 million rai of farmland, 89% of it rice. Reservoirs are below the five-year average, and the Meteorological Department warns the drought could last until June.
Off-season rice, sugar cane and cassava are seen as most at risk.
Lower off-season rice, cane and cassava output tightens Asian feed and industrial raw material supplies, supporting prices for rice and cassava-linked feed inputs.
bangkokpost.comEIC2020. 3. 17.과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 179건 이후, 조곡(벼)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.4% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.5%), 20거래일 동안 +2.2%.
과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,465건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Drought damage to 1.62 million rai of Thai farmland, mostly rice, with reservoirs low and the drought possibly lasting until June, points to reduced supply from a major exporter.
Thai drought damaging 1.62 million rai, mostly rice, with the dry spell forecast to last to June, raised the supply-risk premium.
