GRAINS-Wheat rallies as tensions rise between Russia, Ukraine

과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 361건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.7% 변동(상승 58%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+3.7%), 20거래일 동안 +1.3%.

• 2023. 7. 20.Wheat prices soar as Russia-Ukraine tensions stoke food crisis fears-0.7%
• 2022. 1. 31.Russia-Ukraine Tensions Drive Global Wheat Prices Higher-1.7%
• 2023. 7. 19.Wheat Futures Rise 9% as Russia Threatens Ships Headed to Ukraine - Bloomberg+1.6%
• 2023. 11. 22.Wheat prices jump as Russia targets Ukrainian grain supplies-0.4%
• 2025. 12. 2.U.S. grains: Corn, wheat futures climb on Black Sea tensions - Grainews-1.2%

과거 하락 지정학 이벤트 53건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.3% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.9%~+1.2%), 20거래일 동안 +1.0%.

• 2025. 12. 2.U.S. grains: Corn, wheat futures climb on Black Sea tensions - Grainews-3.0%
• 2026. 3. 10.Chicago soy, grains retreat as technical selling unwinds crude-driven rally - Markets - Business Recorder-2.1%
• 2026. 7. 29.Wheat up 1%, rises for second session on Black Sea disruptions | ZAWYA-4.7%
• 2022. 3. 17.U.S. grains: May wheats limit-down as peace talks progress - Manitoba Co-operator+4.2%
• 2022. 3. 29.Grains Remain Under Selling Pressure as Trading Closes-3.7%

과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 323건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 57%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+2.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2023. 7. 20.Wheat prices soar as Russia-Ukraine tensions stoke food crisis fears+9.4%
• 2022. 1. 31.Russia-Ukraine Tensions Drive Global Wheat Prices Higher+0.6%
• 2023. 7. 19.Wheat Futures Rise 9% as Russia Threatens Ships Headed to Ukraine - Bloomberg+13.6%
• 2025. 12. 2.U.S. grains: Corn, wheat futures climb on Black Sea tensions - Grainews+0.5%
• 2022. 2. 24.Wheat, soybeans hit nine-year highs as Russia invades Ukraine+6.5%