◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2023. 10. 1.보고서미국

Grain Prices “Steep Dive” Following Production, Stocks Reports

CBOT wheat for December delivery fell 6.6% on September 29 after USDA quarterly stocks and Small Grains reports showed higher wheat and soybean stocks and higher wheat production than analysts expected. Corn stocks came in lower than expected.

Wheat had lost 17% during the third quarter, with Russian export supplies cited as a major pressure.

중요한 이유

Bigger-than-expected U.S. wheat supplies and soybean stocks loosen balance sheets and weigh on futures. Feed grain buyers should expect softer wheat and soybean complex prices, with corn cushioned by its lower stocks.

영향 대상밀 (SRW)▼대두▼옥수수▼

출처 1건
farmpolicynews.illinois.eduKeith Good2023. 10. 1.

가격 반응 및 이력

밀 (SRW)▼하락현재까지1d -4.0%5d -3.9%20d -1.2%

과거 하락 보고서 이벤트 1,006건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 50%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2016. 11. 11.Farming News - Global wheat production up - leads to new record stocks+1.8%
2025. 7. 11.PF Reaction to USDA Reports | USDA cuts old-, new-crop corn ending stocks - Pro Farmer-2.3%
2023. 11. 10.Yield, Production and Stocks Increase Sends Corn and Soy Lower Following November WASDE-2.7%
2017. 3. 12.WASDE report puts major ag products on defensive - Agweek | #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets+1.0%
2022. 12. 6.Production rebound in Canada sees exports bounce - Grain Central+9.9%

대두▼하락현재까지1d +0.2%5d -0.7%20d +1.7%

과거 하락 보고서 이벤트 788건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.3% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.0%~+1.5%), 20거래일 동안 -0.9%.

2019. 2. 8.Soybean Production Up in 2018, USDA Reports Winter Wheat Seedings and Grain Stocks also reported-1.1%
2024. 1. 12.USDA Releases January Crop Production, WASDE, Dec. 1 Grain Stocks and Winter Wheat Seedings Reports-1.5%
2016. 7. 18.Grain Supply and Demand report sends grain prices falling-6.2%
2025. 7. 11.PF Reaction to USDA Reports | USDA cuts old-, new-crop corn ending stocks - Pro Farmer+0.9%
2022. 9. 30.Key data in USDA stocks and wheat harvest reports, and difference from market forecasts - Grain Price News-3.7%

옥수수▼하락현재까지1d +2.3%5d +2.7%20d +2.6%

과거 하락 보고서 이벤트 1,102건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.8%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.0%.

2021. 4. 18.An Increase in Wheat Feeding to Hogs in China, as China’s First-Quarter Pork Production Rose | Farm Policy News | Illinois+6.1%
2021. 8. 29.USDA Forecasts Record Farm Exports in FY 2021 and FY 2022 | Farm Policy News | Illinois-6.1%
2019. 2. 8.Soybean Production Up in 2018, USDA Reports Winter Wheat Seedings and Grain Stocks also reported+0.8%
2024. 1. 12.USDA Releases January Crop Production, WASDE, Dec. 1 Grain Stocks and Winter Wheat Seedings Reports-0.9%
2016. 7. 18.Grain Supply and Demand report sends grain prices falling+5.9%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

연관 가격 변동

밀 (SRW)-4.0%1개 기간 · 2023. 10. 2.까지-4.4σ
The USDA Small Grains and quarterly stocks reports on Sept 29 triggered a 6.6% selloff on higher-than-expected wheat production and stocks plus Russian export pressure, but the timing is a trading day before the window, so this is mainly carry-over.

밀 (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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