◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2017. 6. 19.날씨글로벌

IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | June Climate Briefing: El Niño Odds Continue Downward Trend

The IRI June climate briefing reports that sea-surface temperatures in the central equatorial Pacific (Nino3.4) stayed at borderline neutral-to-weak El Niño levels of +0.4°C to +0.6°C. Atmospheric and sub-surface indicators remained near average, so no El Niño event is yet present.

중요한 이유

Falling El Niño odds point to a lower risk of drought in Australia, Southeast Asia and India, which supports stable palm oil, grain and oilseed supply. The price impact is modest because the signal is still weak.

영향 대상팜유◆밀 (SRW)◆

출처 1건
iri.columbia.edu2017. 6. 19.

가격 반응 및 이력

팜유◆중립현재까지1d +0.2%5d -0.6%20d +2.2%

과거 중립 날씨 이벤트 19건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 53%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.4%~+1.1%), 20거래일 동안 +2.4%.

2017. 7. 24.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | July Climate Briefing: El Niño Odds Continue Downward Trend+0.7%
2019. 11. 1.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | October Climate Briefing: El Niño Remains Neutral+12.8%
2017. 6. 15.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2017 June Quick Look-0.2%
2017. 7. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2017 July Quick Look+1.4%
2025. 11. 19.IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | November 2025 Quick Look-1.2%

밀 (SRW)◆중립현재까지1d -0.4%5d -0.7%20d -1.2%

과거 중립 날씨 이벤트 224건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 46%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.5%), 20거래일 동안 +0.4%.

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

팜유 PALMOIL · GP ▸

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밀 (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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