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A late freeze with snow and frost in western Kansas and the Oklahoma Panhandle produced a 28-cent one-day wheat rally, completing a 55-cent move. The article estimates the frost could cut hard red winter wheat output by about 2 percent, or roughly 18 million bushels.
Funds had built record short positions and were reported buying 25,000 contracts on the rally day.
An 18 million bushel cut to hard red winter wheat reduces ending stocks and supports K.C. wheat futures. Heavy fund short-covering amplified the move, so prices may stay volatile until yield losses are confirmed.
farmprogress.comKim Anderson2017. 5. 2.과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 322건 이후, 밀 (HRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 49%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.5%~+3.2%), 20거래일 동안 +1.0%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
