◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2017. 7. 11.날씨Sub-Saharan Africa

How Africa can prepare against the next El Niño and why - Sub-Saharan Africa

An SciDev article by Esther Ngumbi urges African governments to prepare for the next El Niño, citing a WMO projection of a 50-60% chance of El Niño forming in mid-to-late 2017. It notes El Niño can bring either drought or floods depending on region, and that the 2016 event caused severe food insecurity.

중요한 이유

The article is a policy call for preparedness rather than a supply event, with limited direct price impact; the El Niño risk it cites is outdated by later models that show lower odds, so it has little effect on feed grain prices.

영향 대상옥수수 대두 밀 (SRW)팜유

출처 1건
scidev.net2017. 7. 11.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +0.1%5d −4.3%20d −4.6%

과거 날씨 이벤트 2,467건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.6%.

2018. 10. 6.How to prepare for an El Niño winter | Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast-0.3%
2017. 5. 19.El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change+1.3%
2026. 7. 1.WMO: Prepare for El Niño+3.0%
2019. 1. 17.How technology is helping farmers predict and prepare for El Niño | PreventionWeb+0.7%
2017. 9. 18.How El Niño and La Niña affect the winter jet stream and U.S. climate | NOAA Climate.gov-0.3%

대두방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +0.5%5d −3.5%20d −5.9%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,964건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2017. 5. 19.El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change-0.6%
2026. 7. 1.WMO: Prepare for El Niño+7.0%
2019. 1. 17.How technology is helping farmers predict and prepare for El Niño | PreventionWeb+2.4%
2017. 9. 18.How El Niño and La Niña affect the winter jet stream and U.S. climate | NOAA Climate.gov+1.6%
2023. 4. 9.El Niño could arrive at a dangerous time for the Pacific. Here's how local farmers are preparing - ABC News+0.5%

밀 (SRW)방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +0.2%5d −2.0%20d −1.7%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,773건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

2017. 5. 19.El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change+3.0%
2026. 7. 1.WMO: Prepare for El Niño-0.4%
2023. 1. 10.What is El Niño, and how does it affect the weather and temperatures?-0.6%
2017. 9. 18.How El Niño and La Niña affect the winter jet stream and U.S. climate | NOAA Climate.gov-0.2%
2023. 4. 9.El Niño could arrive at a dangerous time for the Pacific. Here's how local farmers are preparing - ABC News-2.5%

팜유방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d −0.2%5d −1.2%20d +0.6%

과거 날씨 이벤트 361건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.3%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

2026. 7. 1.WMO: Prepare for El Niño+0.6%
2023. 1. 10.What is El Niño, and how does it affect the weather and temperatures?-4.6%
2017. 9. 18.How El Niño and La Niña affect the winter jet stream and U.S. climate | NOAA Climate.gov-2.0%
2023. 4. 9.El Niño could arrive at a dangerous time for the Pacific. Here's how local farmers are preparing - ABC News-2.1%
2021. 4. 29.El Niño can help predict cacao harvests+3.3%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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