◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2024. 1. 29.날씨남미

U.S. grains: Soy hits 2-yr lows on South American crop prospects, demand worries - Manitoba Co-operator

CBOT soybean futures fell to two-year lows below $12 per bushel on January 29, 2024, as South American harvest prospects improved for Argentina and Brazil. Corn and wheat also declined as crude oil fell and the U.S. dollar strengthened.

Chinese demand concerns deepened amid a real estate crisis, including a Hong Kong court ordering liquidation of China Evergrande.

중요한 이유

Expectations of larger South American crops increase global supply, and weaker Chinese demand reduces import pull, both pressuring soybean and meal prices. Bigger Brazilian supply could also limit U.S. export opportunities.

영향 대상대두▼대두박▼옥수수▼밀 (SRW)▼

출처 1건
manitobacooperator.caGFM Network News, Julie Ingwersen, Reuters2024. 1. 29.

가격 반응 및 이력

대두▼하락현재까지1d -1.2%5d -1.7%20d -6.1%

과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 363건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.6% 변동(상승 42%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.5%~+1.1%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

2017. 1. 3.U.S. grains: Soy hits six-week low on South American prospects - Grainews0.0%
2019. 9. 9.U.S. grains: Corn, soy hit lows on weather, before technical bounce - Manitoba Co-operator+4.7%
2024. 7. 10.U.S. grains: Soy futures fall to 2020 low on strong US crop prospects-6.1%
2016. 7. 14.U.S. grains: New forecast ends rallies - Manitoba Co-operator-9.0%
2019. 12. 19.U.S. grains: Soy futures ease on rains in South American forecasts - Grainews+1.0%

대두박▼하락현재까지1d +1.1%5d +1.7%20d -5.1%

과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 118건 이후, 대두박은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.8% 변동(상승 35%; 중간 50% 범위 -3.2%~+0.4%), 20거래일 동안 -1.6%.

2017. 1. 3.U.S. grains: Soy hits six-week low on South American prospects - Grainews-1.0%
2024. 7. 10.U.S. grains: Soy futures fall to 2020 low on strong US crop prospects-9.3%
2019. 12. 19.U.S. grains: Soy futures ease on rains in South American forecasts - Grainews-1.1%
2017. 2. 7.Markets waiting for certainty on South American summer crop - Grain Central+3.1%
2023. 10. 30.U.S. grains: South America rains push soy futures down - Grainews+0.4%

옥수수▼하락현재까지1d -1.1%5d -0.7%20d -7.2%

과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 357건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.3% 변동(상승 44%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.2%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.5%.

2019. 9. 9.U.S. grains: Corn, soy hit lows on weather, before technical bounce - Manitoba Co-operator-0.9%
2024. 7. 10.U.S. grains: Soy futures fall to 2020 low on strong US crop prospects-0.8%
2016. 7. 14.U.S. grains: New forecast ends rallies - Manitoba Co-operator+3.9%
2018. 10. 23.Drier Weather Aids U.S. Harvests; Rains Boost South American Crops – Lakeview Grains, LLC-0.9%
2023. 10. 30.U.S. grains: South America rains push soy futures down - Grainews-3.3%

밀 (SRW)▼하락현재까지1d -0.2%5d -0.0%20d -5.2%

과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 334건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.9%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

2017. 1. 3.U.S. grains: Soy hits six-week low on South American prospects - Grainews+2.7%
2016. 7. 14.U.S. grains: New forecast ends rallies - Manitoba Co-operator+0.7%
2023. 10. 30.U.S. grains: South America rains push soy futures down - Grainews+2.3%
2018. 10. 18.Feed weekly outlook: Grains flood Alberta market - Manitoba Co-operator+0.3%
2020. 5. 16.Going With the Grain: A nation-wide look at crop prospects - ABC News+0.6%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

대두 SOY · GP ▸

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대두박 SBM · GP ▸

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