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FEWSNET says the 2017/18 southern Africa rainy season is hard to forecast because the main climate drivers are near neutral. The latest outlook shows La Niña is now most likely during October 2017 to March 2018, instead of neutral.
La Niña usually brings wetter-than-normal conditions to the region from December to February.
Wetter conditions would generally be favorable for maize in southern Africa, reducing the chance of a regional shortfall that would need imports. The uncertainty keeps the price implications small for now.
zimbabwesituation.comZimSitRep_M2017. 11. 9.과거 중립 날씨 이벤트 445건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
