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Alex Norton argues that US wheat is too expensive to compete in export markets throughout the 2018-19 crop year. Russia aggressively sold low-priced wheat early in the season, and US sales have been slow to recover after a government shutdown delayed reporting.
Global production shortfalls in Europe, Russia, and Australia had been expected to shift demand to the US.
If US wheat stays priced above Black Sea supplies, export demand will keep shifting elsewhere, leaving US stocks heavier and prices pressured. That weakens the case for a price recovery in US wheat.
agweek.comAlex Norton, Beeson Inc.2019. 2. 24.과거 하락 무역 이벤트 375건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.0%~+1.1%), 20거래일 동안 -0.1%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
