Soybeans suffer 1-2 punch from trade fight and a disease that’s ravaging China’s swine herd

과거 하락 질병 이벤트 50건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 58%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+2.4%), 20거래일 동안 +0.0%.

• 2019. 3. 12.Swine fever hurts China soybean demand, raises doubts on trade promises+3.2%
• 2018. 9. 11.African Swine Fever May Reduce China's Soybean Demand-1.2%
• 2018. 11. 1.Effects from African swine fever may reduce China's soybean needs.+3.4%
• 2019. 4. 22.Pork and Soybean Markets Adjust to African Swine Fever - ProAg-3.0%
• 2021. 4. 15.More wheat feeding and pig disease outbreaks pose double threat to China soymeal demand | Reuters+6.2%

과거 하락 질병 이벤트 167건 이후, 대두박은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.6% 변동(상승 40%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.8%~+1.4%), 20거래일 동안 -0.8%.

• 2018. 8. 31.Hog prices poised to soar as deadly swine disease emerges in China - MarketWatch+4.2%
• 2019. 3. 12.Swine fever hurts China soybean demand, raises doubts on trade promises+4.4%
• 2018. 9. 11.African Swine Fever May Reduce China's Soybean Demand-4.1%
• 2018. 11. 1.Effects from African swine fever may reduce China's soybean needs.+0.5%
• 2019. 4. 22.Pork and Soybean Markets Adjust to African Swine Fever - ProAg-1.1%