China oil futures launch may threaten primacy of U.S. dollar: UBS

과거 하락 거시 이벤트 1,637건 이후, 미국 달러 (광의 지수)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 39%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.6%~+0.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

• 2016. 12. 2.Dollar tanks as U.S. jobs cast doubt on pace of future hikes | Reuters-0.5%
• 2019. 1. 4.Dollar cycle may be about to turn, supporting oil prices: Kemp-1.2%
• 2017. 8. 21.Macroscope | How to read the outlook for the US dollar | South China Morning Post-0.6%
• 2019. 11. 4.Three Forces Weakening US Dollar’s Grip On Commodity Pricing | Wood Mackenzie+0.5%
• 2017. 12. 15.Here’s what’s threatening the dollar in 2018 - MarketWatch-0.2%

과거 중립 거시 이벤트 102건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 49%; 중간 50% 범위 -3.3%~+2.5%), 20거래일 동안 +1.8%.

• 2026. 7. 29.ING Says Dollar to Take Cue from Oil Prices If Fed Holds Rate | Financial Post-4.4%
• 2026. 1. 1.COMMENTARY: China overtakes OPEC+ as the main oil price maker+0.8%
• 2017. 12. 1.Crude oil prices to be under pressure in first half of 2018: S&P-1.5%
• 2026. 5. 29.Cattle futures slip on fuel price demand fears - CME | The Beef Site+4.6%
• 2022. 11. 28.Canadian dollar posts biggest decline in six weeks as China outlook weighs - The Globe and Mail+4.6%