Diversity of El Niño Variability Makes Prediction Challenging

과거 중립 보고서 이벤트 770건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.1%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.

• 2019. 5. 13.WASDE Predicts Milk Production and prices Up for 2020 • Northwest Iowa Dairy Outlook • Iowa State University Extension and Outreach+6.9%
• 2017. 1. 20.County-by-county variability of bioenergy crop yields in the U.S.+0.4%
• 2021. 3. 2.Grain prices trend higher with more demand and climate variability: ABARES | Farm Online | ACT+6.1%
• 2020. 2. 27.Big data helps farmers adapt to climate variability | EurekAlert!+2.6%
• 2018. 3. 28.Weather phenomena such as El Niño affect up to two-thirds of the world’s harvests | Aalto University+3.3%

과거 중립 보고서 이벤트 563건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 48%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 -0.1%.

• 2017. 1. 20.County-by-county variability of bioenergy crop yields in the U.S.-1.9%
• 2026. 1. 13.January USDA reports with plenty of surprises in both directions • Ag Decision Maker • Iowa State University Extension and Outreach+1.9%
• 2020. 2. 27.Big data helps farmers adapt to climate variability | EurekAlert!+2.0%
• 2018. 3. 28.Weather phenomena such as El Niño affect up to two-thirds of the world’s harvests | Aalto University-0.4%
• 2023. 3. 28.New method combines commodity tracing and species data to quantify impacts of soy imports on biodiversity+5.5%

과거 중립 보고서 이벤트 406건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+1.5%), 20거래일 동안 +0.0%.

• 2021. 3. 2.Grain prices trend higher with more demand and climate variability: ABARES | Farm Online | ACT-2.2%
• 2018. 3. 28.Weather phenomena such as El Niño affect up to two-thirds of the world’s harvests | Aalto University+1.0%
• 2024. 1. 16.Good yields after a challenging year - Mecardo-0.8%
• 2021. 10. 11.Most of record production being used+2.0%
• 2023. 10. 22.Mint Primer: Making sense of India’s record food production | Mint-2.5%