Most FOMC participants say they may raise rates ‘soon’, minutes show

과거 상승 거시 이벤트 2,356건 이후, 미국 달러 (광의 지수)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 60%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.3%~+0.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.4%.

• 2025. 12. 30.Breaking: FOMC Minutes showed most officials judged further rate cuts would be appropriate+0.2%
• 2022. 6. 7.Australia's central bank raises rates by 50 basis points+2.4%
• 2018. 8. 22.FOMC minutes: More hikes coming soon; trade a worry | Reuters-0.5%
• 2024. 2. 21.Fed worried about cutting rates too soon, minutes of January meeting show-0.0%
• 2024. 6. 28.China’s central bank puts the yuan’s exchange-rate swings in crosshairs | South China Morning Post-0.7%

과거 하락 거시 이벤트 301건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.2%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

• 2023. 6. 27.Brazil central bank minutes raise possibility of August rate cut | Reuters-7.9%
• 2023. 9. 21.Stocks fall, yields rise as central banks rattle markets-0.2%
• 2020. 3. 4.Brazil central bank to intervene in FX swaps market on Thursday+1.1%
• 2016. 11. 14.Mexico central bank seen hiking after peso's Trump tumble-3.6%
• 2016. 11. 17.Mexican peso briefly falls 1 percent vs. US dollar after central bank hikes rates+3.0%

과거 하락 거시 이벤트 273건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.4% 변동(상승 44%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.4%~+1.4%), 20거래일 동안 -0.5%.

• 2023. 6. 27.Brazil central bank minutes raise possibility of August rate cut | Reuters+2.7%
• 2023. 9. 21.Stocks fall, yields rise as central banks rattle markets-1.3%
• 2018. 8. 30.Macroscope | China’s yuan sinks, but neither its central bank nor investors are showing signs of panic | South China Morning Post+0.4%
• 2020. 3. 18.Brazil central bank wades into FX, bond markets but real slump accelerates | Financial Post+7.6%
• 2020. 3. 4.Brazil central bank to intervene in FX swaps market on Thursday-2.2%