◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2024. 5. 6.날씨브라질

Rains in the South concern players; demand for soybean meal increases

Heavy rains in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil's second-largest soybean state, raised quality concerns. Rumors of a possible strike in Argentina, the major soymeal exporter, boosted demand for Brazilian meal, lifting domestic and export premiums.

Cepea soybean indices rose about 4% in April to the highest levels of the year.

중요한 이유

Argentine strike risk and Brazilian quality concerns shift demand toward Brazilian soymeal, supporting meal prices and export premiums for feed buyers.

영향 대상대두박▲대두▲대두유▲

출처 1건
eitagota.com.brEita Gota maio 6, 20242024. 5. 6.

가격 반응 및 이력

대두박▲상승현재까지1d +4.1%5d +1.1%20d -0.2%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 453건 이후, 대두박은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+2.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.5%.

2022. 12. 14.Concerns over Argentine soybean crop raises meal prices in Brazil - DatamarNews+0.4%
2018. 1. 22.The price of soybean meal is increasing due to the reduction in exports from Argentina+1.2%
2024. 3. 27.Excessive rain and dry periods affect the soybean harvest in the South and Central-West - Revista Cultivar-2.7%
2025. 5. 8.RS 2024/25 Harvest: soybean harvest progresses, but losses in the field are a concern - Cultivar Magazine-0.7%
2026. 2. 25.Soybeans Rally with the Help of Meal+0.5%

대두▲상승현재까지1d +2.7%5d +0.3%20d -1.4%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,079건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

2026. 2. 11.Lack of rain pressures corn and soybeans in the South+1.0%
2026. 2. 1.Hot dry spells and extreme rain increased corn and soybean prices in the United States Midwest+4.8%
2021. 4. 13.Drought in Plains a Concern for U.S. Corn and Soy Crops+4.9%
2017. 8. 14.The rain dilemma for U.S. corn, soybeans - Manitoba Co-operator+0.2%
2022. 12. 14.Concerns over Argentine soybean crop raises meal prices in Brazil - DatamarNews-0.1%

대두유▲상승현재까지1d +1.7%5d +2.3%20d +8.3%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 184건 이후, 대두유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 53%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.9%~+2.4%), 20거래일 동안 -0.5%.

2020. 4. 8.Continues the speculative rise in prices for soybean and sunflower oil-3.4%
2026. 7. 30.Soybean Prices Decline on Forecasted Midwest Rains Despite Strong Export Demand | Tridge Insights+2.0%
2026. 2. 25.Soybeans Rally with the Help of Meal+2.8%
2022. 1. 19.Precipitation in South America lowers soybean prices, which increases pressure on sunflower prices 19.01.2022 - UkrAgroConsult+1.8%
2025. 7. 18.U.S. grains: Soybean futures set two-week high on US weather worry, soyoil rally | The Western Producer+1.4%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

연관 가격 변동

대두박+9.0%5개 기간 · 2024. 5. 6.까지3.3σ
Heavy Rio Grande do Sul rains and Argentine strike rumors boosted demand for Brazilian meal and premiums, a direct supply-risk driver on the date of the move.
대두박+4.3%1개 기간 · 2024. 5. 6.까지5.0σ
Dated May 6, it cites heavy Rio Grande do Sul rains and rumors of an Argentine strike, which lifted demand and premiums for Brazilian meal; this is a direct supply and trade-flow driver of the 1-day soymeal jump.
대두박+7.0%5개 기간 · 2024. 5. 8.까지2.9σ
Rio Grande do Sul rains and the Argentine strike rumors raised demand for Brazilian meal and premiums, supporting meal prices.

대두박 SBM · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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